Friday, July 18, 2008

Taiwan-China Relations

When they say that Taiwan will fight until American's last soldier, that's a little inaccurate. Try America and Japan, which are the obvious. Try Hong Kong being rather unhappy. And then try Britain, Russia, France, Germany, Australia, Philippines, South Korea, Singapore. Any country that has any sort of trade to port cities in China will be very unhappy if China ever invades Taiwan.

Despite what anyone says about Taiwan not being its own nation, one must realize that the waters between Taiwan and China are international waters. Meaning that ships can pass through them freely. No tolls. The Taiwan straits is in fact a major trade artery that deals with most of Asia. That said, if China does ever take military actions towards Taiwan, trade to China will suddenly explode in cost. Given China's action in the World Trade Organization, you can be assured that the economic burden on the rest of the world will be grave.

And China's will be graver.

If China does ever invade Taiwan, massive trade barriers will be placed against China. Due to the fact that China is based mostly on imports/exports, the economic ramifications of such an action will devastate China. Also looking into China's history of revolutions, it will be very bloody. I predict that China will then split up into several nations, the Dali Lama will be allowed to come back to his, "own," nation, and East China will be similar to Japan without the neuroticism. In either case, the overbearing oh crap force of China will be broken. East China might actually be a democracy. And the rest of China will probably go to hell at this point.

So what can China do? To be honest, I won't say that it's impossible for China to join Taiwan. I don't believe it is a wise move. I don't like China. But I won't throw it out due to the recent Taiwan elections. On that note, the unification of Taiwan to China will have to come politically rather than militarily. In which case, the rest of the world will be unhappy, but there will be no excuse to attack China. The WTO will probably take a much harder step, but the same fact remains, China remains intact. That being said, the unification of Taiwan and China will not be based by China, but Taiwan.

Yes, there are people who disagree that Taiwan is an actual country. But one major fact remains, that the Taiwan straits have and will remain as international waters. That and National Geographic are enough to qualify Taiwan as a country. Perhaps not a major country, but still a country. Other countries may not recognize Taiwan, but every country recognizes money.

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